The Trump effect, as it has been called, is having an effect on the election.
Here’s how it’s playing out.
Trump’s poll numbers are dropping.
Democrats are surging in battleground states.
And while Trump’s standing with the public is declining, there’s a chance that the public may forgive him in the final days.
In the final week, Trump is struggling to recover.
And his negatives are skyrocketing.
As of Monday, Trump’s favorability rating was negative 52 percent, which was his worst mark in a Reuters/Ipsos poll in the four months since his inauguration.
And the poll’s latest question asked respondents: “Do you approve or disapprove of Trump’s performance in office?
Do you think the president is doing a good job or a bad job?”
This is the last question, not a partisan or racial one.
In other words, it’s a general-election question.
A majority of Americans have negative views of Trump.
His approval ratings are down, and the public has a negative view of him.
His disapproval rating is up, and he’s getting support from the majority of Republicans.
And he’s got a higher favorable rating among Democrats than among Republicans.
His numbers in battleground swing states are plummeting.
And, in a sign that things are getting worse, his favorable ratings among independents are down.
“Trump has lost some ground,” said Peter Hart, who tracks politics and public opinion at the University of Virginia’s Miller Center.
“This is the most negative year he’s had since he was elected president.
That’s really not a good sign.
And it’s also a pretty big blow to his approval ratings.”
The pollsters surveyed 1,852 registered voters, including 846 registered Republicans and 642 registered Democrats, from Jan. 5 to Tuesday.
The results were based on interviews with 843 people and 761 people who have voted since Trump’s inauguration.
The numbers suggest that Trump’s numbers are improving, but he’s still struggling.
His net favorable rating is now positive 52 percent.
His unfavorables are negative – – an improvement from a negative 55 percent two weeks ago.
His favorable rating was also at its lowest point in three months on Monday.
And as of Monday night, he had a favorable rating of minus 34 percent.
“There is no reason to think that he will regain the support that he lost this week,” Hart said.
“But I think that people are not ready to give him the benefit of the doubt.”
And the trend lines continue to show Trump’s problems.
His overall favorability numbers have fallen in battlegrounds, while his unfavorability has risen.
And in Florida, the poll shows, Trump has dropped below 50 percent, the level of disapproval that would trigger a recount.
And there are signs that Republicans are beginning to take Trump’s side.
In Pennsylvania, for example, the number of registered Republicans who say they would vote for Trump if the election were held today is down from 56 percent two months ago to 41 percent on Monday night.
The poll found that in Florida and North Carolina, Trump did not do as well as he did in Pennsylvania.
The polls also show that Democrats are beginning a push to retake seats in swing states that have been won by Trump.
And Republican pollsters say they see an improvement in the party’s fortunes in a number of swing states, such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Virginia.
But the polling data does not paint a bright picture for Trump in a handful of battleground states, where he’s losing ground.
In Ohio, for instance, where the GOP nominee is still ahead, Trump still has a positive net favorable to unfavorabilities ratio of minus 32 percent, according to the Reuters/Opinion Research Corp. poll.
In Florida, which went to Trump by 20 points in 2016, he is now minus 28 percent, and his unfavorable to favorable ratio is minus 42 percent.
And Trump’s unfavorable to favorables ratio is also down in Ohio, where Trump’s favorable to unfavorable ratio is negative at minus 48 percent.
In Virginia, Trump now has a net favorable favorable to favorabilities ratio minus 28 percentage points, according a poll from The Washington Post.
But he has a bad favorables to unfavorable rating of -51 percent.
That puts him in a difficult position in a few of those states, especially in North Carolina where he has already lost three House seats and two Senate seats in the last six years.
And this week, in Virginia, where Republican Gov.
Ralph Northam, a Trump supporter, faces a Democratic challenger, Trump was also down 20 points from the first poll of the year.
The AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research surveyed 1 to 2,000 adults in North America from Jan, 5 to Feb. 28.
The margin of sampling error for the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
More AP national politics coverage: http://apne.ws/2f6Vm7f